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Tuesday, May 8

Und Zwei Macht “Einen Vierzeiler”

The old idea of a powerful philosopher-king who would put into practice some carefully thought out plans was a fairy-tale invented in the interest of a land-owning aristocracy. The democratic equivalent of this fairy-tale is the superstition that enough people of good will may be persuaded by rational argument to take planned action. History shows that the social reality is quite different. The course of historical development is never shaped by theoretical constructions, however excellent, although such schemes might, admittedly, exert some influence, along with many other less rational (or even quite irrational) factors. Even if such a rational plan coincides with the interests of powerful groups it will never be realized in the way in which it was conceived, in spite of the fact that the struggle for its realization would then become a major factor in the historical process. The real outcome will always be very different from the rational construction. It will always be the resultant of the momentary constellation of contesting forces. Furthermore, under no circumstances could the outcome of rational planning become a stable structure; for the balance of forces is bound to change. All social engineering, no matter how much it prides itself on its realism and on its scientific character, is doomed to remain a Utopian dream.
p. 42
Karl Popper The Poverty of Historicism - (1936) 1957
The IMF is explicit in its antidemocratic leanings, what it calls "political considerations.” The SDR blueprint calls for the appointment of “an advisory board of eminent experts” to provide direction on the amount of money printing in the new SDR system. Perhaps these "eminent experts” would be selected from among the same economists and central bankers who led the international monetary system to the brink of destruction in 2008. In any case, they would be selected without the public hearings and press scrutiny that come in democratic societies and would be able to operate in secret once appointed.

John Maynard Keynes famously remarked, “There is no subtler, surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.” If not one man in a million understands debasement, perhaps not one in ten million understands the inner workings of the IMF. It remains to be seen whether we can gain a fuller understanding of those inner workings before the IMF implements its plan to displace the dollar with SDRs.

In the end, the IMF’s plan for the SDR as announced in its blueprint document is an expedient, not a solution. It confronts the imminent sequential failure of Hat money regimes by creating a new Hat money. It papers over the problems of paper currencies with a new kind of paper.

However, the plan has two potentially fatal flaws that may stand in its way. The first is timing—could the IMF’s new SDR solution be implemented before the next financial crisis? Creation of a new currency as envisioned by the IMF would take at least five years...
pp. 233-234
James Rickards Currency Wars - 2011

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